Military experts: what will happen if the Russian forces manage to "move" the announced reserves - DELFI

2022-09-03 01:07:12 By : Mr. Michael LI

In Kharkiv, on the northern flank of the Donbass, our intensity on the contact line is low, they wrote."Ukrainians carried out defense, saved resources and weakened the enemy with artillery fire.The aggressor tried to push the Ukrainian maneuver units in the northern section, but to no avail.Also, the aggressor's efforts in the south-eastern section ended in failure (neither improving their tactical situation nor enabling their artillery to reach the targets in Kharkiv from this section)", wrote the military experts.They also provided an assessment in this sector - a draw after active actions.In Iziume, the aggressor's counterattacks in the southern section ended in failure, the Ukrainians control the territories that were taken back 2-3 weeks ago."At the same time seeing the failures of the orcs, in the middle of the week the Ukrainians reactivated reconnaissance and local attacks in the southern sector.In order not to give up the initiative, the orcs are forced to attack both in the southern and southeastern sections.It wastes resources, exhausts the forces," said military analysts.Their conclusion is a draw after active actions.In Seversk, according to military experts, the aggressor's attack completely expired without achieving any tactical or operational goals."The activation of the Ork forces in the Lyman sector is more like an effort to distract the Ukrainians and stretch the forces.Renewed Russian attacks east of Seversk over the weekend only confirm this assumption," military analysts shared their insights on the social network.In this sector, according to them, there is also a draw after active actions.The Ukrainians, with the help of maneuver units and artillery, finally leveled the situation in the Bakhmut sector, they wrote."The enemy is stopped at the approaches to Soledar and Bachmut, the blockade of Bachmut or the bridgehead necessary for the assault has not been created.The activity of the aggressor's maneuver units has decreased, and he is trying to compensate for this with intense artillery fire," military analysts wrote on Facebook.According to them, even in this sector there is a draw after active actions.Experts from the civil defense and security analysis center "Locked N' Loaded" said that the situation in the center of Ukraine is similar to that of Bakhmut."Only here did the geography of the aggressor's attacks essentially narrow down to attempts to occupy Pervomaisk.This effort has stalled," they wrote, arguing that a tie is being recorded here as well after active actions.In the Zaporizhia sector, activity also decreased on the eastern flank (Velyka – Novosylka – Vuhledar – Novomykhailivka), and positional battles in other sections, experts said at the time.In the south of the country, the aggressor managed to push the contact line from Snihurivka towards Mykolaiv."Although we managed to achieve tactical success near Blahodatne, the aggressor failed to develop it."Meanwhile, the Ukrainians consolidated their tactical success west of Kherson, but equally failed to achieve their operational objectives," they wrote.And in Crimea and on the left bank of the Dnieper, the aggressor strengthened air defense, military analysts wrote."As predicted, as a result, the number of successful Ukrainian operations in Crimea decreased, but this did not reduce the political-psychological effect (even after the Ukrainian missiles were shot down, the effect of this fact is still more beneficial for the Ukrainians).The Russians' attempts to restore their logistics road network across the Dnieper have ended in complete failure, leaving them in a worse situation than a week ago.Also, despite the counter-partisan actions of the aggressor, the military infrastructure and representatives of the administration of the collaborators continue to be attacked in his deep rear," said the experts of the civil defense and security analysis center "Locked N' Loaded".They assured that Ukrainians have the initiative in this sector.The central sector suffered the most losses, military experts wrote."It is important to note that the intensity of the battles in the places of the most intense battles until then (Bakhmut and Center) has dropped significantly, so the total losses suffered by the aggressor have decreased compared to last week," they explained.The losses of armored vehicles fell drastically (146 vs 66)."The slight reduction in orc HP loss (1650 vs 1550) suggests that:1) the aggressor continues local infantry attacks despite reduced opportunities to support them with armor fire and maneuver;2) orc artillery does not create an advantage for infantry on the battlefield and does not compensate for the lack of armored vehicles;3) Ukrainian artillery works more and more successfully not only in the contact line, but also in the depth of the aggressor's defense (despite the decrease in the number of destroyed artillery systems (53 vs. 30), a record number of Ork MLRS systems were destroyed)," the experts said.According to them, the announced units of the aggressor's 2nd echelon, or rather the 3rd corps, are still not visible in the contact line and in its depth."The appearance (and destruction) of 200 paratroopers in the depth of the defense of the Center sector was just a one-time incident that did not turn into a trend," he said.Military analysts on the social network wondered what would happen if the Russian forces managed to "move" the mentioned reserves."1) It is unlikely that we will see them in the contact line or operational defense depth in the next week, and 2) if this happens in the course of a week or two, their effect on operations in the sectors (most likely in Seversk, Bakhmut, Center) will not be decisive, unless the aggressor throws everything together sector," wrote military experts.According to them, it cannot be ruled out that the Russians will use the decrease in the intensity of battles on the northern flank of Donbass and the Center to strengthen their positions and go on the defensive, especially if there is no significant reinforcement."And for the concentration of forces on the contact line for offensive actions in one of the sectors.It is likely that the aggressor will try to attack in the direction of Slovyansk in order to secure water supply to the occupied territories", military experts shared their insights on the social network.It is also likely that the Ukrainians will intensify local attacks near Izium."We will move to more active actions in the Seversk sector.In the Bakhmut and Center sectors, an increase in the intensity of Ukrainian artillery is expected in order to finally break the offensive potential of the Ork forces operating here," the military experts wrote.According to them, the possibility of active actions of the aggressor on the western flank of the Zaporizhia sector remains high."It is unlikely that the Ukrainians will launch more active counterattacks, as this would require more powerful fire support, and the overall balance of forces is not on the side of the Ukrainians."(…) It is very likely that the aggressor will intensify attacks on the contact line and will seek to demonstrate operational level achievements (for example, the liquidated Ukrainian bridgehead Andriivka - Lozove - Bilohirka)", military experts shared their predictions.According to them, it cannot be ruled out that after a week of analysis of the enemy's air and anti-missile defenses, the Ukrainians will do their homework and attacks on military targets in Crimea will resume."It is very likely that the intensity of attacks against the aggressor's forces and military infrastructure on the left and right banks of the Dnieper and on the contact line will not decrease," military experts wrote on Facebook.Russian forces again hit civilian targets in Donbass and Zaporizhia with rockets.In the atomic...Experts say that Ukraine achieved great success in the war because it unexpectedly used weapons and...Shock, awakening, trying to get a 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